Published
2026-06-05
Section
Articles
How to Cite
碳税与补贴政策下物流供应商低碳转型的演化博弈分析
李 涛
南京交通职业技术学院
陈 勇
南京交通职业技术学院
DOI: https://doi.org/10.59429/hjfz.v8i5.14174
Keywords: 电动汽车；物流供应商；碳税；政府补贴；演化博弈
Abstract
随着电子商务的快速发展，公路货运对环境的影响日益显著，推动物流服务供应链的绿色转型成为亟待解决 的问题。本研究基于演化博弈理论，构建政府与物流服务供应商之间的博弈模型，探讨不同碳税与补贴政策组合对 物流供应商采用电动汽车等低碳车辆行为决策的影响。研究分析了静态税收与静态补贴、动态税收与静态补贴、静 态税收与动态补贴、动态税收与动态补贴四种政策机制下的演化稳定策略。结果表明：政府的静态税收与静态补贴 机制无法有效激励物流供应商采用低碳车辆；动态税收与动态补贴的联合机制最为有效，可使物流供应商采用低碳 车辆的概率达到 95%；碳税在促进低碳服务方面比补贴更有效。研究为政府制定差异化的低碳物流政策提供了理论 依据和管理启示。
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