Influencing factors of urban shrinkage in Shanxi province
Kaixi He
Yunnan Normal University
Yujun Pan
Yunnan Normal University
Yi Zhou
Yunnan Normal University
Zhengchao Ran
Yunnan Normal University
DOI: https://doi.org/10.59429/bam.v7i2.10506
Keywords: Urban shrinkage; Geophysical detector; Shanxi province
Abstract
As an aspect of urbanization, urban shrinkage has a significant impact on the development of cities. This paper analyzes the urban shrinkage status of each county in Shanxi Province based on the permanent population data of 2010, 2015, and 2020, using geographic detectors and other methods. The results show that: (1)The shrinking cities in Shanxi Province from 2010 to 2020 are mainly concentrated in the counties under city jurisdiction, and the shrinkage situation has not shown significant improvement.(2)The geographic detector analysis revealed that changes in the GDP growth rate, administrative level, and the straight-line distance to the nearest major city were the main factors contributing to urban shrinkage in Shanxi Province during the two periods. From 2015 to 2020, the change rate in the number of ordinary primary and secondary school students was also a significant influencing factor.
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